As another year races by, what will the markets be watching as we bring 2024 to a close?
Let's take a look. Inflation pressures have somewhat
eased, but one metric, the Core Consumer Price Index year over year, remains
stubbornly sticky at 3.3%. The core rate strips out volatile food and energy.
The headline Consumer Price Index hit a 40-year high of 9.1% year over year in
June of 2022 but has fallen to 2.6%. The rate of inflation has declined, but
prices are still rising.
Borrowing costs fell from multi-year highs in September but have
pushed above those lows and look to remain near current levels for the
remainder of the year and into early next year. The 30-year fixed-rate mortgage
is currently just below the 7% level, as would-be home buyers try to hold off
on one of their biggest investments as they seek a lower monthly cost.
The Federal Reserve will hold its Federal Open Market Committee
meeting on December 17th-18th, where it is expected it will cut the short-term
Fed Funds Rate by 0.25%. This is despite Fed members saying the economy is
strong and the job market remains solid. But don't get too excited; a Fed Rate
cut doesn't equal lower borrowing costs. At the time of the Fed Rate cut of
0.50% on September 18th, the 30-year fixed rate was just above 6% and has since
climbed to 6.81%.
Over in the stock markets, investors will be looking for the
Santa Claus rally, which is the sustained increase in the stock market that
occurs around the Christmas holiday on December 25th. Most estimate these
rallies happen in the week leading up to the Christmas holiday, while others
see trends that begin on Christmas Day through January 2nd. The closely watched
S&P 500 stock index is currently near an all-time record high.
Bottom line: Stocks, bonds, interest rates, borrowing costs,
inflation, home buying ... and along with everyday life, so much for the
American consumer to juggle. For those in the quest for homeownership, we know
that there are many hurdles to jump, but they are easier when you know you can
achieve the American Dream.
Source: Mortgage Market Guide
Team Lasson is here for all of your home buying needs! If you’re thinking about making the leap into home ownership in the near future, please contact us today to get started. We can help you determine what loan program works best for your financial goals. The first step in preparing for your big purchase is to get pre-approved for a mortgage at Lake of the Ozarks. Please visit www.yourlakeloan.com or give us a call at (573) 216-7258 to get started.
Michael Lasson
Senior Mortgage Banker
NMLS #: 493712
Flat Branch Home Loans – Team Lasson
2882 Bagnell Dam Blvd
Lake Ozark, MO 65049
Cell: (573)
216-7258
Email: teamlasson@fbhl.com
Website: www.yourlakeloan.com
**The postings on this site are my own
and do not necessarily represent Flat Branch Home Loans positions, strategies,
or opinions.
Flat Branch Home Loans
NMLS 224149. A Division of Flat Branch Mortgage Inc. For more licensing
information, visit NMLSConsumerAccess.org